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- Russia: calls for lower rates go unheeded…for now
- What are the odds of Brazil’s industrial output reaching market expectations?
- Brazilian government growth forecast reflects wishful thinking
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- Brazil’s central bank redoubles the bet
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- Brazil: Is the rise in FDI caused by disguised portfolio investment?
- Imbalances are improving …but renminbi reform is not a panacea
- More negative news for India
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Imbalances are improving …but renminbi reform is not a panacea
At the G20 Summit in Pittsburgh in 2009 it was agreed that all major economies would reduce their current account surplus as part of the global effort to reduce global imbalances. US Treasury Secretary, Timothy Geithner, suggested that current account deficits … Continue reading
Posted in China, Economics, GDP, Investment, Uncategorized
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More negative news for India
It came as no surprise to us that one of the big three international credit ratings agencies, Standard & Poor’s, announced last week that it had revised the outlook for India’s long-term sovereign debt from stable to negative. The agency … Continue reading
Posted in Debt, Economics, India, Uncategorized
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India: A number too sweet
What should we make of the latest industrial production data published by India’s Central Statistics Office? On 12 April, when releasing the February data for the index of industrial production (IIP), the office announced that the January numbers had been … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, India, Industrial Production, Manufacturing, Uncategorized
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Brazil’s dearth of domestic savings, a limit to growth
The government’s move to cut interest rates in order to boost economic activity has brought the debate on potential economic growth back on the table. Most analysts believe that Brazil’s potential GDP growth rate, the long term rate that can … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
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India’s industrial production
Despite unfavourable conditions like stringent borrowing costs, high inflation and weak global demand, India’s index of industrial production (IIP) grew by 6.8% on an annual basis in January, the fastest rate of growth in seven months and above our expectation … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, India, Uncategorized
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