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	<title>Byline &#187; Crime</title>
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		<title>What&#8217;s wrong with a nice cup of tea?</title>
		<link>http://byline.timetric.com/2009/05/07/whats-wrong-with-a-nice-cup-of-tea/</link>
		<comments>http://byline.timetric.com/2009/05/07/whats-wrong-with-a-nice-cup-of-tea/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 May 2009 18:36:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew Walkingshaw</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Crime]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The Home Office released statistics on drug seizures today. About those, The Daily Mail writes: The Home Office said the figures showed they were winning the fight against drugs. But they could also be a warning that more drugs were &#8230; <a href="http://byline.timetric.com/2009/05/07/whats-wrong-with-a-nice-cup-of-tea/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Home Office released <a href="http://uk.sitestat.com/homeoffice/rds/s?rds.hosb0809snrpdf&amp;ns_type=pdf&amp;ns_url=[http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/rds/pdfs09/hosb0809snr.pdf]">statistics on drug seizures</a> today.</p>
<p>About those,<a href="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1178302/Cocaine-seizures-hit-record-high-police-seize-3-5tons-single-year.html"> The Daily Mail writes:</a></p>
<blockquote><p>The Home Office said the figures showed they were winning the fight against drugs.</p>
<p>But they could also be a warning that more drugs were getting in to Britain.</p>
<p>Street prices of heroin and cocaine have fallen sharply in recent years.</p></blockquote>
<p>You&#8217;d think it might be a <em>little </em>tricky to get hold of evidence to bear that out, but it turns out that there&#8217;s a European street-drug-price index: the <a href="http://www.emcdda.europa.eu/stats08/ppp">Price and Purity Information </a>dataset from EMCDDA, the European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction.</p>
<p>The latest year they have data for is 2006, but it bears the trend out: adjusted for inflation, heroin was 10% cheaper in 2006 than 2001, cocaine 20%, and Ecstasy had halved in price.</p>
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<p>Anyone who watches <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wire_(TV_series)">The Wire</a> can tell you that the drug market&#8217;s a bit more complex than that, though. Dealers have to make their cut.</p>
<p>We can get a proxy for that from the Home Office&#8217;s data. They break down, quarter-by-quarter, the purity of the drugs seized by HM Customs – the stuff which has been smuggled – and the purity of the drugs taken off the street by the police force. That tells another tale. Taking cocaine as an example:</p>
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<p>while the purity of the cocaine smuggled into the UK has declined, from 71% to 63%, the drugs being seized by the police are now almost twice as adulterated as they were in 2001.</p>
<p>For heroin, however:</p>
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the dealers aren&#8217;t cutting their supply nearly as much; what they&#8217;ve been pushing has pretty much been what they&#8217;ve been being supplied with.</p>
<p>You could, and undoubtedly people will, write books on the reasons for this – sociological, economic, cultural. One thing it does suggest, though, is that there&#8217;s simply been more <em>demand</em> for cocaine: dealers have been stretching their supplies further to be able to sell to more of an eager public. Cocaine&#8217;s a party drug, a drug of affluence, ideal for the property bubble and market boom earlier this decade; maybe the credit crunch, which kicked in after this data was gathered, will trickle down in next year&#8217;s statistics&#8230;</p>
<p>As ever, the <a href="http://timetric.com/tags/drugs/">drug data</a> collected here is available on <a href="http://timetric.com/">Timetric</a> for you to analyse yourself; let us know what conclusions you come to.</p>
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